September Sucks! Maybe We Can Blame The NFL!

Good morning:

We are approaching the worst-performing month of the year.  Historically speaking September is weak.  Why is that?  Who knows.  Maybe we can blame the NFL. Are traders and investors distracted?

For the past 10-year period September is the only month with negative performance - averaging down .5%. Perhaps September is the Cleveland Browns. 

To give some additional perspective I ran charts for the SP500 on a 60-minute basis for August and September of the past 5 years.  Take a look.  Then see my notes below.

I am really proud of what we have accomplished. And super excited to see if we can do it again over the next 3 years!

You can see that 2021 and 2020 had significant pullbacks.  Both years were down for September.  

You can see in 2017,18 and 19 that the pullbacks were in August, but that performance in the month of September was up for each year.

So far this year we have not had a meaningful pullback in August, so our setup looks more like the past 2 years.

We do not trade on history, although the V2 model does take it into consideration. For our part, we will be using faster time frames and may reduce our exposure over the next week depending on the math.  

For the year V2 is outpacing the SP500 by nearly 18%!

V2 must be the Green Bay Packers!

Our V2 Model tracks over 120 asset class ratio trends to assist us in deciding how and when to allocate our holdings. No single indicator, chart, or list gives market clarity. They each give a point of view that we factor into our model. We do not forecast. We follow the math. It has led us to remarkable long-term performance.

If you are not a Member and would like to see our V2 holdings, allocations, history, and changes as they occur I urge you to subscribe below.

Distance=Victory

Chris

The V2 Model has gained an impressive 1,454%% from 2016 through 2021.

6X the performance of SP500 (2016-2021)

+83.27% 3-Year Annualized Returns (2019-2021)

+69.22% 5-Year Annualized Returns (2017-2021)

V2 Newsletter performance rank compared to all ETFs:

Top 10% 2021 (#243 out of 2867)

Top 1% 3-Year (#9 out of 1896)

Top 1% 5-Year (#4 out of 1896)

Market Data From Morningstar and Etrade.

We do not anticipate what is going to happen. We allocate based on where things are. We do not forecast, we follow the math and work to get on the right side of the next extended trend.

V2 is a proprietary investment Model the results of which we make available in our newsletter. We give our holdings, changes before they occur, our allocations, and performance on an ongoing basis. You can discover more about the Model, our performance, and how it works by checking out our website.

We have researched and developed a pool of common and popular ETFs. We will select which ETFs to invest in based on market conditions and our short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends. We will also model asset class ratio behavior for our decision-making process. Leverage will be used when appropriate and we will short the market in a downturn. If no investments meet our rules, we will go to cash. We will change holdings at any time during the month.

The investment picks may be in large-cap growth, treasuries, leverage, derivatives. We may short the market or go to cash. Holdings may include SPXU, SDS, SH, SPY, SSO, UPRO, TLT, AGG, TQQQ, SQQQ, or CASH at any time.

Chris Vig is president of The Vig Company and is an investor, artist, author, business consultant and former CEO living in Monona, WI. This article is for entertainment purposes only. We may own, buy, or sell any security listed here at any time. Do your own diligence when investing your hard-earned cash. Follow The Vig Company on Facebook.

You can learn more about the model, its holdings, and how it works by going through each link on our website. The V2 newsletter is available for $15 a month. And of course, you can unsubscribe at any time.

THE VIG COMPANY LLC INFORMATION AND NEWSLETTERS ARE NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES. WE ARE SIMPLY LISTING THE RESULTS OF OUR MODEL. WE MAY BUY, HOLD, OR SELL ANY SECURITY LISTED IN OUR INFORMATION AT ANY TIME. WE ARE NOT REGISTERED INVESTMENT ADVISORS AND HAVE NO UNDERSTANDING OF YOUR PERSONAL FINANCIAL SITUATION, RISK TOLERANCES, OR INVESTING OBJECTIVES. ANY INVESTMENT DECISIONS YOU MAKE ARE YOUR OWN. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN DILIGENCE WHEN INVESTING YOUR HARD-EARNED MONEY.

COPYRIGHT 2020 THE VIG COMPANY LLC 6203 RIDGEWOOD AVE. MONONA, WI 53716. THEVIGCO@GMAIL.COM