Stifel Sees Lost Decade For SP500! Endorses V2 Methods. Cool!
Good morning:
This article from Seeking Alpha popped up in my feed this morning.
Buy yesterday and go away? Stifel sees a lost decade for the S&P 500
The summary is this: "The broader market could enjoy a near-term bounce, but looking longer term there will be almost no return for stocks, according to Stifel's equity trading desk." They are predicting a lost decade for stocks.
The good news? They suggest 9 opportunities. Several of them are at the core of our V2 Model:
Active (not broad passive - buy and hold) management in a range-bound decade.
Macro hedge funds, or long short equity funds
Defensives during slowdowns, cyclical during recoveries.
The V2 Model is actively managed, we use many hedge fund techniques (including quantitative tools), we will go long and/or short, and we will move sector to sector as the math warrants. We share all of this in our V2 Newsletter.
A lost decade?
No way. Not if you follow the V2 Newsletter!
This is one of the reasons I built V2. I wanted a tool to avoid making nothing for long periods of time. Like from 1966 to 1982. 16 years! Or from From 2000 to 2012. 12 years! In both time periods markets went sideways for more than a decade!
Building the Model was a lot of work. Time, effort, and significant math went into it creating it. Then we did millions of iterations to find the best timing. The result was V2. In V2 we use 127 different asset class ratios on multiple time frames to compare against any security. We do not forecast. We follow our math.
V2 is not perfect. Nothing is. But our V2 Model gives us a fighting chance and a good probability of getting us on the right side of extended trends in either direction. Over time, our math has allowed us to beat the market.
I encourage you to check out our performance below. If you are worried about going sideways - follow V2 for a bit and see if it is right for you. Our V2 Newsletter is only $15 a month and you can unsubscribe at any time.
You will see we have quite a strong track record. It is rare to have this type of long-term record.
Thank you all so much. As proud as we are of this week, we are much happier with our long-term performance.
If you are not a premium member and would like to see what we do. You can learn more and sign up here for only $15/month. The Vig Company.
Our V2 Model tracks over 120 asset class ratio trends to assist us in deciding how and when to allocate our holdings. No single indicator, chart, or list gives market clarity. They each give a point of view that we factor into our model. We do not forecast. We follow the math. It has led us to remarkable long-term performance.
If you are not a Member and would like to see our V2 holdings, allocations, history, and changes as they occur I urge you to subscribe below.
Distance=Victory
Chris
The V2 Model has gained an impressive 1,454%% from 2016 through 2021.
6X the performance of SP500 (2016-2021)
+83.27% 3-Year Annualized Returns (2019-2021)
+69.22% 5-Year Annualized Returns (2017-2021)
V2 Newsletter performance rank compared to all ETFs:
Top 10% 2021 (#243 out of 2867)
Top 1% 3-Year (#9 out of 1896)
Top 1% 5-Year (#4 out of 1896)
Market Data From Morningstar and Etrade.
We do not anticipate what is going to happen. We allocate based on where things are. We do not forecast, we follow the math and work to get on the right side of the next extended trend.
V2 is a proprietary investment Model the results of which we make available in our newsletter. We give our holdings, changes before they occur, our allocations, and performance on an ongoing basis. You can discover more about the Model, our performance, and how it works by checking out our website.
We have researched and developed a pool of common and popular ETFs. We will select which ETFs to invest in based on market conditions and our short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends. We will also model asset class ratio behavior for our decision-making process. Leverage will be used when appropriate and we will short the market in a downturn. If no investments meet our rules, we will go to cash. We will change holdings at any time during the month.
The investment picks may be in large-cap growth, treasuries, leverage, derivatives. We may short the market or go to cash. Holdings may include SPXU, SDS, SH, SPY, SSO, UPRO, TLT, AGG, TQQQ, SQQQ, or CASH at any time.
Chris Vig is president of The Vig Company and is an investor, artist, author, business consultant and former CEO living in Monona, WI. This article is for entertainment purposes only. We may own, buy, or sell any security listed here at any time. Do your own diligence when investing your hard-earned cash. Follow The Vig Company on Facebook.
You can learn more about the model, its holdings, and how it works by going through each link on our website. The V2 newsletter is available for $15 a month. And of course, you can unsubscribe at any time.
THE VIG COMPANY LLC INFORMATION AND NEWSLETTERS ARE NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES. WE ARE SIMPLY LISTING THE RESULTS OF OUR MODEL. WE MAY BUY, HOLD, OR SELL ANY SECURITY LISTED IN OUR INFORMATION AT ANY TIME. WE ARE NOT REGISTERED INVESTMENT ADVISORS AND HAVE NO UNDERSTANDING OF YOUR PERSONAL FINANCIAL SITUATION, RISK TOLERANCES, OR INVESTING OBJECTIVES. ANY INVESTMENT DECISIONS YOU MAKE ARE YOUR OWN. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN DILIGENCE WHEN INVESTING YOUR HARD-EARNED MONEY.
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